Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dorian Thomas
Dorian Thomas

Player breakdown

Dorian Thomas

New Mexico · 2027 Draft Class

6-3180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2025New MexicoMountain West1250529310.644.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

2.94 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.327
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.179
10.6 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.160

Top Negative Factors

44.1 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.418
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.406
458 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.395

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)