Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Drake Dunsmore
Drake Dunsmore

Player breakdown

Drake Dunsmore

Northwestern · 2012 Draft Class

7th round, 233rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007NorthwesternBig Ten011141012.80
2009NorthwesternBig Ten347523311.1174.3
2010NorthwesternBig Ten43937859.794.5
2011NorthwesternBig Ten343509611.8169.7
Career101401,5511411.1155.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

10%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Efficiency consistency: 1.16 — highly consistent across seasons+0.234
141.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.233
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.170

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+122 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.607
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.414
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.407

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)