Player breakdown
Drew Sample
Washington · 2019 Draft Class
6-5255 lbs2nd round, 52nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | CIN | 9 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2020 | CIN | 16 | 13 | 53 | 40 | 349 | 8.7 | 1 | 21.8 |
| 2021 | CIN | 17 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 81 | 7.4 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2022 | CIN | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -1 | 0 | -1 |
| 2023 | CIN | 17 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 163 | 7.4 | 2 | 9.6 |
| 2024 | CIN | 17 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 109 | 5.5 | 1 | 6.4 |
| 2025 | CIN | 17 | 12 | 20 | 15 | 106 | 7.1 | 1 | 6.2 |
| Career | 95 | 62 | 145 | 115 | 836 | 7.3 | 5 | 8.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
| 2016 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7 | 8 | 98 | 0 | 12.2 | 14 |
| 2017 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4 | 6 | 78 | 0 | 13 | 19.5 |
| 2018 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9 | 21 | 229 | 1 | 10.9 | 25.4 |
| Career | 24 | 39 | 449 | 2 | 11.5 | 18.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.617
Reception rate trend+0.278
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+61) — improving trajectory-0.659
259 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.517
0.90 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.432