Player breakdown
Durham Smythe
Notre Dame · 2018 Draft Class
6-5253 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
34%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | MIA | 15 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 50 | 8.3 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2019 | MIA | 16 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 65 | 9.3 | 0 | 4.1 |
| 2020 | MIA | 15 | 13 | 29 | 26 | 208 | 8 | 2 | 13.9 |
| 2021 | MIA | 17 | 12 | 41 | 34 | 357 | 10.5 | 0 | 21 |
| 2022 | MIA | 16 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 129 | 8.6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| 2023 | MIA | 16 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 366 | 10.5 | 0 | 22.9 |
| 2024 | MIA | 17 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 53 | 5.9 | 0 | 3.1 |
| 2025 | CHI | 17 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Career | 129 | 76 | 181 | 136 | 1,253 | 9.2 | 3 | 9.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 2015 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2016 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7 | 8 | 100 | 3 | 12.5 | 14.3 |
| 2017 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8 | 13 | 234 | 1 | 18 | 29.2 |
| Career | 17 | 23 | 347 | 4 | 15.1 | 20.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
34%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
110" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.516
Class YPR rank: top 17% — elite per-target efficiency+0.356
Reception rate trend+0.256
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+75) — improving trajectory-0.658
78 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.518
0.92 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445