Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dwayne Allen
Dwayne Allen

Player breakdown

Dwayne Allen

Clemson · 2012 Draft Class

6-3255 lbs3rd round, 64th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012IND1616664552111.6332.6
2013IND11212020120
2014IND1313502939513.6830.4
2015IND131229161096.818.4
2016IND1414523540611.6629
2017NWE1682210868.615.4
2018NWE1384327902.1
Career86722251391,56411.32018.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009ClemsonACC310108310.836
2010ClemsonACC131356111.5356
2011ClemsonACC84857781272.1
Career12891,0411211.786.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

52%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

110" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.545
2.26 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.300
Reception rate trend+0.255

Top Negative Factors

36.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.328
Class YPR rank: top 64% — average per-target efficiency-0.310
BMI 31.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (255 lbs)-0.252

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)