Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dylan Wade
Dylan Wade

Player breakdown

Dylan Wade

UCF · 2026 Draft Class

6-4240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023MarylandBig Ten22301.51.5
2024MarylandBig Ten1129374012.934
2025UCFBig 12103942801142.8
Career2370805011.535.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

21%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

-47.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.174
Strong ascending production slope (+212 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.160

Top Negative Factors

1.78 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.456
42.8 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.417
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.389

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)