Player breakdown
Ed Dickson
Oregon · 2010 Draft Class
6-4249 lbs3rd round, 70th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | BAL | 15 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 152 | 13.8 | 1 | 10.1 |
| 2011 | BAL | 16 | 16 | 89 | 54 | 528 | 9.8 | 5 | 33 |
| 2012 | BAL | 13 | 11 | 33 | 21 | 225 | 10.7 | 0 | 17.3 |
| 2013 | BAL | 16 | 14 | 43 | 25 | 273 | 10.9 | 1 | 17.1 |
| 2014 | CAR | 16 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 115 | 11.5 | 1 | 7.2 |
| 2015 | CAR | 16 | 11 | 26 | 17 | 121 | 7.1 | 2 | 7.6 |
| 2016 | CAR | 16 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 134 | 13.4 | 1 | 8.4 |
| 2017 | CAR | 16 | 12 | 48 | 30 | 437 | 14.6 | 1 | 27.3 |
| 2018 | SEA | 10 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 143 | 11.9 | 3 | 14.3 |
| Career | 134 | 86 | 311 | 190 | 2,128 | 11.2 | 15 | 15.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Oregon | Big Ten | 0 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 12.5 | 0 |
| 2007 | Oregon | Big Ten | 4 | 41 | 437 | 2 | 10.7 | 109.2 |
| 2008 | Oregon | Big Ten | 2 | 33 | 479 | 3 | 14.5 | 239.5 |
| 2009 | Oregon | Big Ten | 4 | 42 | 551 | 6 | 13.1 | 137.8 |
| Career | 10 | 118 | 1,492 | 11 | 12.6 | 149.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.618
734 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.517
118 career receptions — limited volume+0.136
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+175 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.497
Speed × production: 61.8 — strong combined athletic output-0.371
25.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.345