Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eli Finley
Eli Finley

Player breakdown

Eli Finley

Louisiana Tech · 2026 Draft Class

6-6244 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023Louisiana TechConference USA12100510
2024Louisiana TechConference USA1023279012.127.9
2025Louisiana TechConference USA1138446011.740.5
Career2263735011.733.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.262
-57.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.159

Top Negative Factors

297 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.517
1.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.407
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.372

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)