Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eli Raridon
Eli Raridon

Player breakdown

Eli Raridon

Notre Dame · 2026 Draft Class

6-6245 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023Notre DameFBS Independents133901339
2024Notre DameFBS Independents575407.710.8
2025Notre DameFBS Independents932482015.153.6
Career1542575013.738.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

40%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.571
Class YPR rank: top 17% — elite per-target efficiency+0.340
-52.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181

Top Negative Factors

160 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.554
39.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.459
BMI 28.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (245 lbs)-0.238

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)