Player breakdown
Eli Stowers
Vanderbilt · 2026 Draft Class
6-4239 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1All-Conference x1
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 8 | 32 | 346 | 2 | 10.8 | 43.2 |
| 2024 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 11 | 43 | 558 | 3 | 13 | 50.7 |
| 2025 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 12 | 58 | 677 | 2 | 11.7 | 56.4 |
| Career | 31 | 133 | 1,581 | 7 | 11.9 | 51.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
74%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
902 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.615
135" broad jump — elite lower-body explosion+0.613
2.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.364
Top Negative Factors
50.7 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.436
Strong ascending production slope (+165 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.427
Speed × production: 78.2 — strong combined athletic output-0.327