Player breakdown
Elijah Arroyo
Miami (FL) · 2025 Draft Class
6-5250 lbs2nd round, 50th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
48%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SEA | 13 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 179 | 11.9 | 1 | 13.8 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Miami | ACC | 4 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 16.5 | 16.5 |
| 2022 | Miami | ACC | 4 | 5 | 66 | 0 | 13.2 | 16.5 |
| 2023 | Miami | ACC | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 |
| 2024 | Miami | ACC | 11 | 30 | 523 | 5 | 17.4 | 47.5 |
| Career | 20 | 40 | 666 | 5 | 16.6 | 33.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
48%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.401
Reception rate trend+0.274
-57.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.174
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+152 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.552
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.361
16.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.286