Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Erick All
Erick All

Player breakdown

Erick All

Iowa · 2024 Draft Class

6-4252 lbs4th round, 115th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024CIN9622201587.9017.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019MichiganBig Ten111001010
2020MichiganBig Ten5128206.816.4
2021MichiganBig Ten1132366011.433.3
2022MichiganBig Ten333601212
2023IowaBig Ten721299214.242.7
Career2769793211.529.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

9%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.389
-47.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.171

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+72) — improving trajectory-0.728
398 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.497
1.19 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.447

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)