Player breakdown
Evan Engram
Mississippi · 2017 Draft Class
6-3234 lbs1st round, 23rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | NYG | 15 | 11 | 115 | 64 | 722 | 11.3 | 6 | 48.1 |
| 2018 | NYG | 11 | 8 | 64 | 45 | 577 | 12.8 | 3 | 52.5 |
| 2019 | NYG | 8 | 6 | 68 | 44 | 467 | 10.6 | 3 | 58.4 |
| 2020 | NYG | 16 | 14 | 109 | 63 | 654 | 10.4 | 1 | 40.9 |
| 2021 | NYG | 15 | 12 | 73 | 46 | 408 | 8.9 | 3 | 27.2 |
| 2022 | JAX | 17 | 14 | 98 | 73 | 766 | 10.5 | 4 | 45.1 |
| 2023 | JAX | 17 | 15 | 143 | 114 | 963 | 8.4 | 4 | 56.6 |
| 2024 | JAX | 9 | 9 | 64 | 47 | 365 | 7.8 | 1 | 40.6 |
| 2025 | DEN | 16 | 2 | 76 | 50 | 461 | 9.2 | 1 | 28.8 |
| Career | 124 | 91 | 810 | 546 | 5,383 | 9.9 | 26 | 43.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3 | 20 | 265 | 3 | 13.2 | 88.3 |
| 2014 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7 | 31 | 537 | 0 | 17.3 | 76.7 |
| 2015 | Ole Miss | SEC | 11 | 32 | 368 | 0 | 11.5 | 33.5 |
| 2016 | Ole Miss | SEC | 11 | 62 | 883 | 1 | 14.2 | 80.3 |
| Career | 32 | 145 | 2,053 | 4 | 14.2 | 64.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
85%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,177 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.638
125" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.612
3.77 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.382
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 108.3 — elite combined athletic output-0.323
88.3 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.286
BMI 29.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (234 lbs)-0.241