Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Foster Moreau
Foster Moreau

Player breakdown

Foster Moreau

LSU · 2019 Draft Class

6-4253 lbs4th round, 137th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019OAK13725211748.3513.4
2020LVR162971402028.8
2021LVR1711443037312.4321.9
2022LVR1514543342012.7228
2023NOR151025211939.2112.9
2024NOR1717433241312.9524.3
2025NOR119107598.405.4
Career104702101511,77211.71817.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016LSUSEC5679013.215.8
2017LSUSEC102015717.815.7
2018LSUSEC920250212.527.8
Career2446486310.620.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

121" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.635
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.264
Efficiency consistency: 1.25 — highly consistent across seasons+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+85) — improving trajectory-0.690
333 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.470
0.99 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.427

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)