Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gary Barnidge
Gary Barnidge

Player breakdown

Gary Barnidge

Louisville · 2008 Draft Class

6-6243 lbs5th round, 141st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008CAR150100000
2009CAR163211224220.2015.1
2010CAR163900000
2012CAR16566781314.9
2013CLE161218131279.827.9
2014CLE132251315612012
2015CLE1613125791,04313.2965.2
2016CLE1616825561211.1238.3
Career124542871782,25812.71418.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004LouisvilleACC3679313.226.3
2005LouisvilleACC116211113.2211
2006LouisvilleACC029498417.20
2007LouisvilleACC553655612.4131
Career91041,4431413.9160.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

786 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.637
117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.526
2.70 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.379

Top Negative Factors

26.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.339
Speed × production: 70.5 — strong combined athletic output-0.316
Best season: 211.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)