Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gavin Bartholomew
Gavin Bartholomew

Player breakdown

Gavin Bartholomew

Pittsburgh · 2025 Draft Class

6-5246 lbs6th round, 202nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021PittsburghACC1223294012.824.5
2022PittsburghACC1019229012.122.9
2023PittsburghACC818326018.140.8
2024PittsburghACC123731008.425.8
Career42971,159011.927.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.261
Reception rate trend+0.250
Positive production trend (+5) — improving trajectory+0.202

Top Negative Factors

391 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.402
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.394
1.33 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.368

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)