Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gavin Harris
Gavin Harris

Player breakdown

Gavin Harris

New Mexico State · 2026 Draft Class

6-3240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023HowardMEAC58105013.121
2024Central MichiganMid-American5914401628.8
2025New Mexico StateConference USA1132452014.141.1
Career2149701014.333.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 15% — elite per-target efficiency+0.398
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.176
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.161

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+173 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.488
301 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.483
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.430

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)