Player breakdown
Geoff Swaim
Texas · 2015 Draft Class
7th round, 246th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | DAL | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | DAL | 9 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 11.5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| 2017 | DAL | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 2018 | DAL | 9 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 242 | 9.3 | 1 | 26.9 |
| 2019 | JAX | 6 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 2021 | TEN | 16 | 16 | 40 | 31 | 210 | 6.8 | 3 | 13.1 |
| 2022 | TEN | 17 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 4.8 | 1 | 3.4 |
| 2023 | ARI | 14 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 94 | 9.4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| 2024 | CLE | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Career | 98 | 59 | 128 | 102 | 770 | 7.5 | 5 | 7.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 2014 | Texas | Big 12 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 1 | 7 | 11.7 |
| Career | 6 | 12 | 82 | 1 | 6.8 | 13.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.244
YPG ranked at 7th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.198
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.154
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+58) — improving trajectory-0.696
93 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.508
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.455