Player breakdown
Gerald Christian
Louisville · 2015 Draft Class
6-3244 lbs7th round, 256th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~35
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
29%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | BUF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 4.7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Florida | SEC | 1 | 4 | 72 | 1 | 18 | 72 |
| 2013 | Louisville | ACC | 4 | 26 | 401 | 4 | 15.4 | 100.2 |
| 2014 | Louisville | ACC | 12 | 29 | 348 | 3 | 12 | 29 |
| Career | 17 | 59 | 821 | 8 | 13.9 | 48.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
29%
ML model output
Context Prob
29%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.266
Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons+0.234
Best season: 100.2 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.233
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+138 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.564
1.64 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.431
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.390