Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gerald Everett
Gerald Everett

Player breakdown

Gerald Everett

South Alabama · 2017 Draft Class

6-3239 lbs2nd round, 44th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017LAR162321624415.3215.3
2018LAR16050333209.7320
2019LAR132603740811231.4
2020LAR167624141710.2126.1
2021SEA1512634847810431.9
2022LAC161187585559.6434.7
2023LAC151270514118.1327.4
2024CHI174138364.502.1
Career124504372922,8699.81923.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014UABConference USA717290017.141.4
2015South AlabamaSun Belt123950701342.2
2016Georgia SouthernSun Belt112902929
2016South AlabamaSun Belt1247608012.950.7
Career321041,434013.844.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

126" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.608
2.54 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.254

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+106 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.654
405 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.504
42.2 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.444

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)