Player breakdown
Grant Calcaterra
SMU · 2022 Draft Class
6-4241 lbs6th round, 198th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | PHI | 15 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 81 | 16.2 | 0 | 5.4 |
| 2023 | PHI | 15 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | 0 | 2.6 |
| 2024 | PHI | 17 | 13 | 30 | 24 | 298 | 12.4 | 1 | 17.5 |
| 2025 | PHI | 15 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 76 | 8.4 | 1 | 5.1 |
| Career | 62 | 22 | 56 | 42 | 494 | 11.8 | 2 | 8.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5 | 10 | 162 | 0 | 16.2 | 32.4 |
| 2018 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 28 | 28 |
| 2018 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11 | 24 | 350 | 0 | 14.6 | 31.8 |
| 2019 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 0 | 15.8 | 26.3 |
| 2021 | SMU | American Athletic | 11 | 40 | 494 | 6 | 12.3 | 44.9 |
| Career | 31 | 80 | 1,113 | 6 | 13.9 | 35.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
15%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
-45.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.174
40 career receptions — limited volume+0.142
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.141
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+83) — improving trajectory-0.696
164 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.524
44.9 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.442