Player breakdown
Gunnar Helm
Texas · 2025 Draft Class
6-5241 lbs4th round, 120th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TEN | 16 | 10 | 55 | 44 | 357 | 8.1 | 2 | 22.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Texas | Big 12 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 6.2 | 8.3 |
| 2023 | Texas | Big 12 | 7 | 11 | 133 | 0 | 12.1 | 19 |
| 2024 | Texas | SEC | 13 | 47 | 582 | 3 | 12.4 | 44.8 |
| Career | 23 | 62 | 740 | 3 | 11.9 | 32.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
39%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.428
Reception rate trend+0.275
-58.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.386
Class YPR rank: top 62% — average per-target efficiency-0.319
8.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.297