Player breakdown
Heath Miller
Virginia · 2005 Draft Class
6-5256 lbs1st round, 30th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | PIT | 16 | 15 | 52 | 39 | 459 | 11.8 | 6 | 28.7 |
| 2006 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 55 | 34 | 393 | 11.6 | 5 | 24.6 |
| 2007 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 61 | 47 | 566 | 12 | 7 | 35.4 |
| 2008 | PIT | 14 | 14 | 66 | 48 | 514 | 10.7 | 3 | 36.7 |
| 2009 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 98 | 76 | 789 | 10.4 | 6 | 49.3 |
| 2010 | PIT | 14 | 14 | 67 | 42 | 512 | 12.2 | 2 | 36.6 |
| 2011 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 74 | 51 | 631 | 12.4 | 2 | 39.4 |
| 2012 | PIT | 15 | 15 | 101 | 71 | 816 | 11.5 | 8 | 54.4 |
| 2013 | PIT | 14 | 14 | 79 | 58 | 593 | 10.2 | 1 | 42.4 |
| 2014 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 91 | 66 | 761 | 11.5 | 3 | 47.6 |
| 2015 | PIT | 15 | 15 | 81 | 60 | 535 | 8.9 | 2 | 35.7 |
| Career | 168 | 167 | 825 | 592 | 6,569 | 11.1 | 45 | 39.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Virginia | ACC | 4 | 36 | 475 | 5 | 13.2 | 118.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
82%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
118.8 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.358
Best season: 118.8 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.290
118.8 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate+0.243
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.375
Class YPR rank: top 44% — average per-target efficiency-0.337
BMI 30.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (256 lbs)-0.251