Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hunter Henry
Hunter Henry

Player breakdown

Hunter Henry

Arkansas · 2016 Draft Class

6-5250 lbs2nd round, 35th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016SDG1510533647813.3831.9
2017LAC1413624557912.9441.4
2019LAC1212765565211.9554.3
2020LAC1414936061310.2443.8
2021NWE1710755060312.1935.5
2022NWE1714594150912.4229.9
2023NWE1410614241910629.9
2024NWE1616976667410.2242.1
2025NWE1717876076812.8745.2
Career1361166634555,29511.64738.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013ArkansasSEC328409414.6136.3
2014ArkansasSEC1136495013.845
2015ArkansasSEC1244642014.653.5
Career261081,546414.359.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

66%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

856 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.597
2.57 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.381
Class YPR rank: top 29% — strong per-target efficiency+0.347

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+116 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.480
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.406
Speed × production: 61.0 — strong combined athletic output-0.360

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)