Player breakdown
Hunter Long
Boston Col. · 2021 Draft Class
3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | MIA | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | LAR | 17 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 8.6 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | JAX | 9 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 85 | 7.1 | 2 | 9.4 |
| Career | 33 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 153 | 7.7 | 2 | 4.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Boston College | ACC | 4 | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 25.8 |
| 2019 | Boston College | ACC | 10 | 26 | 462 | 0 | 17.8 | 46.2 |
| 2020 | Boston College | ACC | 10 | 50 | 592 | 3 | 11.8 | 59.2 |
| Career | 24 | 80 | 1,157 | 3 | 14.5 | 48.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.273
Efficiency consistency: 1.78 — highly consistent across seasons+0.264
Strong ascending production slope (+244 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.195
Top Negative Factors
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.454
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.394
25.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.257