Player breakdown
Ian Thomas
Indiana · 2018 Draft Class
6-4259 lbs4th round, 101st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CAR | 16 | 6 | 49 | 36 | 333 | 9.3 | 2 | 20.8 |
| 2019 | CAR | 16 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 136 | 8.5 | 1 | 8.5 |
| 2020 | CAR | 16 | 8 | 31 | 20 | 145 | 7.3 | 1 | 9.1 |
| 2021 | CAR | 17 | 13 | 30 | 18 | 188 | 10.4 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2022 | CAR | 17 | 17 | 30 | 21 | 197 | 9.4 | 0 | 11.6 |
| 2023 | CAR | 12 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 2024 | CAR | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | LVR | 15 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 114 | 8.8 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Career | 114 | 64 | 198 | 132 | 1,176 | 8.9 | 4 | 10.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2017 | Indiana | Big Ten | 9 | 23 | 356 | 0 | 15.5 | 39.6 |
| Career | 10 | 24 | 358 | 0 | 14.9 | 35.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.547
Class YPR rank: top 25% — strong per-target efficiency+0.334
Reception rate trend+0.271
Top Negative Factors
1.37 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.462
474 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.378
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.335