Player breakdown
Irv Smith Jr.
Alabama · 2019 Draft Class
6-2242 lbs2nd round, 50th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | MIN | 16 | 7 | 47 | 36 | 311 | 8.6 | 2 | 19.4 |
| 2020 | MIN | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 365 | 12.2 | 5 | 28.1 |
| 2022 | MIN | 8 | 1 | 36 | 25 | 182 | 7.3 | 2 | 22.8 |
| 2023 | CIN | 12 | 6 | 26 | 18 | 115 | 6.4 | 1 | 9.6 |
| Career | 49 | 21 | 152 | 109 | 973 | 8.9 | 10 | 19.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Alabama | SEC | 7 | 12 | 114 | 0 | 9.5 | 16.3 |
| 2018 | Alabama | SEC | 10 | 32 | 537 | 4 | 16.8 | 53.7 |
| Career | 17 | 44 | 651 | 4 | 14.8 | 38.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
110" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.597
Class YPR rank: top 29% — strong per-target efficiency+0.327
Reception rate trend+0.240
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 56.6 — average combined athletic output-0.373
16.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.331
BMI 31.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (242 lbs)-0.252