Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaac Nauta
Isaac Nauta

Player breakdown

Isaac Nauta

Georgia · 2019 Draft Class

6-3244 lbs7th round, 224th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019DET6032136.502.2
2020DET70213300.4
Career13053165.301.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016GeorgiaSEC1027353013.135.3
2017GeorgiaSEC6771010.111.8
2018GeorgiaSEC1228423215.135.2
Career2862847213.730.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Speed × production: 35.5 — average combined athletic output+0.191
YPG ranked at 29th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.190
-60.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.185

Top Negative Factors

Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.423
1.73 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.369
Class YPR rank: top 57% — average per-target efficiency-0.321

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)