Player breakdown
Isaiah Likely
Coastal Carolina · 2022 Draft Class
6-5245 lbs4th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | BAL | 16 | 2 | 60 | 36 | 373 | 10.4 | 3 | 23.3 |
| 2023 | BAL | 17 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 411 | 13.7 | 5 | 24.2 |
| 2024 | BAL | 16 | 9 | 58 | 42 | 477 | 11.4 | 6 | 29.8 |
| 2025 | BAL | 14 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 307 | 11.4 | 1 | 21.9 |
| Career | 63 | 26 | 194 | 135 | 1,568 | 11.6 | 15 | 24.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 6 | 12 | 104 | 0 | 8.7 | 17.3 |
| 2019 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 12 | 31 | 420 | 0 | 13.5 | 35 |
| 2020 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 9 | 25 | 517 | 4 | 20.7 | 57.4 |
| 2021 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 10 | 42 | 605 | 7 | 14.4 | 60.5 |
| Career | 37 | 110 | 1,646 | 11 | 15.0 | 44.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
39%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2.47 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.394
Class YPR rank: top 12% — elite per-target efficiency+0.387
Reception rate trend+0.284
Top Negative Factors
403 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.506
Strong ascending production slope (+167 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.473
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.366