Player breakdown
Jace Amaro
Texas Tech · 2014 Draft Class
6-5265 lbs2nd round, 49th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
EliteAll-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
80%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | NYJ | 14 | 4 | 53 | 38 | 345 | 9.1 | 2 | 24.6 |
| 2016 | TEN | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 19.7 | 0 | 19.7 |
| Career | 17 | 4 | 57 | 41 | 404 | 9.9 | 2 | 23.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 2 | 8.1 | 28.5 |
| 2012 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3 | 25 | 409 | 4 | 16.4 | 136.3 |
| 2013 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5 | 98 | 1,240 | 7 | 12.7 | 248 |
| Career | 10 | 130 | 1,706 | 13 | 13.1 | 170.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
80%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,488 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.654
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.582
4.68 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.380
Top Negative Factors
28.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.330
Speed × production: 130.2 — elite combined athletic output-0.312
Best season: 248.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.289