Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jackson Hawes
Jackson Hawes

Player breakdown

Jackson Hawes

Georgia Tech · 2025 Draft Class

6-5253 lbs5th round, 173rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2025BUF178191618711.7311
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021YaleIvy113033
2022YaleIvy611131011.921.8
2023YaleIvy6790012.915
2024Georgia TechACC915188012.520.9
Career2234412012.118.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

10%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

121" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.596
-69.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.189
YPG ranked at 19th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.185

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+61) — improving trajectory-0.660
225 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.521
0.74 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.431

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)