Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob Tamme
Jacob Tamme

Player breakdown

Jacob Tamme

Kentucky · 2008 Draft Class

6-3236 lbs4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008IND1205312401
2009IND1611033511.702.2
2010IND16893676319.4439.4
2011IND16531191779.3111.1
2012DEN168855255510.7234.7
2013DEN16125201849.2111.5
2014DEN15028141097.827.3
2015ATL158815965711.1143.8
2016ATL8531222109.5326.3
Career130363892592,5709.91419.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004KentuckySEC016161210.10
2005KentuckySEC02925118.70
2006KentuckySEC128327111.7327
2007KentuckySEC553584511116.8
Career61261,323910.5220.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

109" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.625
778 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.609
2.47 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.338

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+141 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.475
Speed × production: 62.6 — strong combined athletic output-0.378
Class YPR rank: top 87% — average per-target efficiency-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)