Player breakdown
Jake Butt
Michigan · 2017 Draft Class
6-5246 lbs5th round, 145th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
EliteJohn Mackey x1All-American x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | DEN | 3 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 85 | 10.6 | 0 | 28.3 |
| 2020 | DEN | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Career | 8 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 90 | 9.0 | 0 | 11.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Michigan | Big Ten | 2 | 17 | 202 | 2 | 11.9 | 101 |
| 2014 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9 | 21 | 211 | 0 | 10 | 23.4 |
| 2015 | Michigan | Big Ten | 12 | 47 | 599 | 0 | 12.7 | 49.9 |
| 2016 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 41 | 496 | 2 | 12.1 | 49.6 |
| Career | 33 | 126 | 1,508 | 4 | 12.0 | 45.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
21%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
798 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.599
2.43 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.384
Best season: 101.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.251
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+98) — improving trajectory-0.654
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.422
Class YPR rank: top 67% — average per-target efficiency-0.362