Player breakdown
Jake O'Connell
Miami (OH) · 2009 Draft Class
6-4220 lbs7th round, 237th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | KAN | 4 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 2010 | KAN | 15 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 2.1 |
| 2011 | KAN | 8 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| 2012 | KAN | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Career | 35 | 8 | 29 | 15 | 108 | 7.2 | 0 | 3.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 6.1 | 21.5 |
| 2007 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2 | 14 | 152 | 2 | 10.9 | 76 |
| 2008 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0 | 25 | 258 | 0 | 10.3 | 0 |
| Career | 4 | 46 | 453 | 4 | 9.8 | 113.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
10%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.233
YPG ranked at 27th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.189
6.1 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.157
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+107 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.699
86 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.523
1.17 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.459