Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamari Johnson
Jamari Johnson

Player breakdown

Jamari Johnson

Oregon · 2027 Draft Class

6-4270 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024LouisvilleACC712148012.321.1
2025OregonBig Ten1229448015.437.3
Career1941596014.531.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 2% — elite per-target efficiency+0.380
-53.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.180

Top Negative Factors

1.66 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.434
37.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.431
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.386

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)