Player breakdown
James Mitchell
Virginia Tech · 2022 Draft Class
6-4249 lbs5th round, 177th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | DET | 14 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 113 | 10.3 | 1 | 8.1 |
| 2023 | DET | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | CAR | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Career | 34 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 169 | 10.6 | 1 | 5.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | 18 | 325 | 0 | 18.1 | 40.6 |
| 2020 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9 | 26 | 435 | 0 | 16.7 | 48.3 |
| 2021 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 12 | 36 |
| Career | 18 | 47 | 796 | 0 | 16.9 | 44.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
26%
ML model output
Context Prob
26%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.387
Reception rate trend+0.258
-46.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.178
Top Negative Factors
40.6 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.425
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.377
1.75 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.371