Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jared Cook
Jared Cook

Player breakdown

Jared Cook

South Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-5246 lbs3rd round, 89th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

87%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009TEN140159748.205.3
2010TEN161452936112.4122.6
2011TEN165814975915.5347.4
2012TEN135734452311.9440.2
2013STL1613855167113.2541.9
2014STL166995263412.2339.6
2015STL1612753948112.3030.1
2016GNB105513037712.6137.7
2017OAK1616865468812.7243
2018OAK16141016889613.2656
2019NOR147654370516.4950.4
2020NOR155603750413.6733.6
2021LAC1610834856411.8435.3
Career194999195537,23713.14537.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006South CarolinaSEC16113118.8113
2007South CarolinaSEC330421314140.3
2008South CarolinaSEC235550215.7275
Career6711,084615.3180.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

87%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.626
733 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.538
113.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.367

Top Negative Factors

Speed × production: 66.6 — strong combined athletic output-0.320
Best season: 275.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.284
275.0 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate-0.255

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)