Player breakdown
Jared Wiley
TCU · 2024 Draft Class
6-6249 lbs4th round, 131st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | KAN | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 | KAN | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Career | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 0.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Texas | Big 12 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 15 |
| 2020 | Texas | Big 12 | 6 | 9 | 166 | 0 | 18.4 | 27.7 |
| 2021 | Texas | Big 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 6.8 | 10.2 |
| 2022 | TCU | Big 12 | 8 | 20 | 219 | 0 | 10.9 | 27.4 |
| 2023 | TCU | Big 12 | 12 | 46 | 521 | 6 | 11.3 | 43.4 |
| Career | 31 | 82 | 962 | 6 | 11.7 | 31.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
44%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.600
Reception rate trend+0.250
-53.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+126 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.572
Speed × production: 57.0 — average combined athletic output-0.376
27.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.331