Player breakdown
Ja'Tavion Sanders
Texas · 2024 Draft Class
6-4245 lbs4th round, 101st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
HighAll-Conference x2Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
68%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | CAR | 16 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 342 | 10.4 | 1 | 21.4 |
| 2025 | CAR | 13 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 190 | 6.6 | 1 | 14.6 |
| Career | 29 | 13 | 77 | 62 | 532 | 8.6 | 2 | 18.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Texas | Big 12 | 11 | 45 | 529 | 2 | 11.8 | 48.1 |
| 2023 | Texas | Big 12 | 10 | 32 | 502 | 0 | 15.7 | 50.2 |
| Career | 21 | 77 | 1,031 | 2 | 13.4 | 49.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
55%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 25% — strong per-target efficiency+0.366
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.05 — variable output+0.271
-41.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Top Negative Factors
48.1 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.454
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.402
58.9 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.251