Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeff Heuerman
Jeff Heuerman

Player breakdown

Jeff Heuerman

Ohio St. · 2015 Draft Class

6-5254 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

4%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016DEN12217914115.7011.8
2017DEN14621914215.8210.1
2018DEN111048312819.1225.5
2019DEN141120141148.118.1
Career51291066367810.8513.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012Ohio StateBig Ten0894111.80
2013Ohio StateBig Ten025409316.40
2014Ohio StateBig Ten817207212.225.9
Career850710614.288.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

4%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Speed × production: 38.8 — average combined athletic output+0.178
118 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.155
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.152

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+56) — improving trajectory-0.731
1.61 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.444
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.384

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)