Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jelani Woods
Jelani Woods

Player breakdown

Jelani Woods

Virginia · 2022 Draft Class

6-7259 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022IND152402531212.5320.8
2025NYJ41314401
Career193432631612.2316.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018Oklahoma StateBig 1266106017.717.7
2019Oklahoma StateBig 1271510807.215.4
2020Oklahoma StateBig 1268129116.121.5
2021VirginiaACC1143591813.753.7
Career3072934913.031.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Class YPR rank: top 24% — strong per-target efficiency+0.382
2.28 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.317
-36.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.174

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+161 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.508
53.7 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.458
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)