Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jerell Adams
Jerell Adams

Player breakdown

Jerell Adams

South Carolina · 2016 Draft Class

6-5247 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016NYG13221161227.619.4
2017NYG1611189211.505.8
Career29332242148.917.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012South CarolinaSEC1490122.590
2013South CarolinaSEC110170117170
2014South CarolinaSEC720274013.739.1
2015South CarolinaSEC1127383214.234.8
Career2061917415.045.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.602
Class YPR rank: top 14% — elite per-target efficiency+0.361
Efficiency consistency: 1.50 — highly consistent across seasons+0.246

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+97) — improving trajectory-0.733
1.55 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.404
510 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.365

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)