Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremy Ruckert
Jeremy Ruckert

Player breakdown

Jeremy Ruckert

Ohio St. · 2022 Draft Class

6-5250 lbs3rd round, 101st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022NYJ90218800.9
2023NYJ15622161519.4010.1
2024NYJ17928181055.806.2
2025NYJ171529231797.8110.5
Career583081584437.617.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018Ohio StateBig Ten111301313
2019Ohio StateBig Ten71212021017.1
2020Ohio StateBig Ten385026.216.7
2021Ohio StateBig Ten920249012.427.7
Career2041432410.521.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.272
Efficiency consistency: 1.23 — highly consistent across seasons+0.243
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.233

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+78) — improving trajectory-0.708
332 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.476
1.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.460

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)