Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremy Sprinkle
Jeremy Sprinkle

Player breakdown

Jeremy Sprinkle

Arkansas · 2017 Draft Class

6-5252 lbs5th round, 154th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017WAS11532136.511.2
2018WAS16995418.212.6
2019WAS161340262419.3115.1
2020WAS166316600.4
2021DAL174333110.301.8
Career763758373329.034.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013ArkansasSEC04680170
2014ArkansasSEC778401212
2015ArkansasSEC923308113.434.2
2016ArkansasSEC1232356311.129.7
Career2866816412.429.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

13%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

116" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.618
Efficiency consistency: 1.38 — highly consistent across seasons+0.246
-61.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.191

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+96) — improving trajectory-0.709
68.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.452
1.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.446

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)