Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jermaine Gresham
Jermaine Gresham

Player breakdown

Jermaine Gresham

Oklahoma · 2010 Draft Class

6-5261 lbs1st round, 21st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

93%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010CIN151083524719.1431.4
2011CIN1413925659610.6642.6
2012CIN1615946473711.5546.1
2013CIN1414684645810432.7
2014CIN151579624607.4530.7
2015ARI1512321822312.4114.9
2016ARI1614613739110.6224.4
2017ARI141446333229.8223
2018ARI13111299410.407.2
Career1321185673773,75210.02928.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006OklahomaSEC18161120.1161
2007OklahomaSEC7344841114.269.1
2008OklahomaSEC8588881215.3111
Career161001,5332415.395.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

93%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,184 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.633
113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.518
3.40 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.364

Top Negative Factors

Speed × production: 98.3 — strong combined athletic output-0.324
BMI 30.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (261 lbs)-0.243
4.66s forty — slow speed-0.202

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)