Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jerome Collins
Jerome Collins

Player breakdown

Jerome Collins

Notre Dame · 2005 Draft Class

6-4267 lbs5th round, 144th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

27%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Notre DameFBS Independents0667011.20

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

27%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.602
Flat production across college career+0.196
YPG ranked at 0th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.182

Top Negative Factors

67.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.464
22 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.426
0.25 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.367

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)