Player breakdown
Jesse James
Penn St. · 2015 Draft Class
6-7261 lbs5th round, 160th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
50%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | PIT | 8 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 2016 | PIT | 16 | 13 | 60 | 39 | 338 | 8.7 | 3 | 21.1 |
| 2017 | PIT | 16 | 14 | 63 | 43 | 372 | 8.7 | 3 | 23.3 |
| 2018 | PIT | 16 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 423 | 14.1 | 2 | 26.4 |
| 2019 | DET | 16 | 11 | 27 | 16 | 142 | 8.9 | 0 | 8.9 |
| 2020 | DET | 16 | 7 | 22 | 14 | 129 | 9.2 | 2 | 8.1 |
| 2021 | CHI | 14 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 8.9 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Career | 102 | 63 | 230 | 157 | 1,522 | 9.7 | 12 | 14.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5 | 15 | 276 | 5 | 18.4 | 55.2 |
| 2013 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3 | 25 | 333 | 3 | 13.3 | 111 |
| 2014 | Penn State | Big Ten | 12 | 35 | 369 | 3 | 10.5 | 30.8 |
| Career | 20 | 75 | 978 | 11 | 13.0 | 48.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
50%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
121" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.576
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.257
Best season: 111.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.250
Top Negative Factors
55.2 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.469
1.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.389
Class YPR rank: top 60% — average per-target efficiency-0.313