Player breakdown
Jim Dray
Stanford · 2010 Draft Class
6-5246 lbs7th round, 233rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | ARI | 16 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2011 | ARI | 10 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 | 2.5 |
| 2012 | ARI | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 2013 | ARI | 16 | 15 | 32 | 26 | 215 | 8.3 | 2 | 13.4 |
| 2014 | CLE | 16 | 8 | 27 | 17 | 242 | 14.2 | 1 | 15.1 |
| 2015 | CLE | 16 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 0 | 3.8 |
| Career | 87 | 36 | 91 | 56 | 605 | 10.8 | 3 | 7.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Stanford | ACC | 1 | 19 | 178 | 1 | 9.4 | 178 |
| 2007 | Stanford | ACC | 1 | 9 | 116 | 1 | 12.9 | 116 |
| 2008 | Stanford | ACC | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2009 | Stanford | ACC | 4 | 11 | 149 | 3 | 13.5 | 37.2 |
| Career | 8 | 41 | 455 | 7 | 11.1 | 56.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
31%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
178.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.277
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.263
YPG ranked at 8th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.190
Top Negative Factors
213 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.412
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.375
0.72 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.336