Player breakdown
Jimmy Graham
Miami (FL) · 2010 Draft Class
6-6260 lbs3rd round, 95th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
Low700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | NOR | 15 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 356 | 11.5 | 5 | 23.7 |
| 2011 | NOR | 16 | 11 | 149 | 99 | 1,310 | 13.2 | 11 | 81.9 |
| 2012 | NOR | 15 | 9 | 135 | 85 | 982 | 11.6 | 9 | 65.5 |
| 2013 | NOR | 16 | 12 | 142 | 86 | 1,215 | 14.1 | 16 | 75.9 |
| 2014 | NOR | 16 | 13 | 125 | 85 | 889 | 10.5 | 10 | 55.6 |
| 2015 | SEA | 11 | 11 | 74 | 48 | 605 | 12.6 | 2 | 55 |
| 2016 | SEA | 16 | 15 | 95 | 65 | 923 | 14.2 | 6 | 57.7 |
| 2017 | SEA | 16 | 13 | 96 | 57 | 520 | 9.1 | 10 | 32.5 |
| 2018 | GNB | 16 | 12 | 89 | 55 | 636 | 11.6 | 2 | 39.8 |
| 2019 | GNB | 16 | 10 | 60 | 38 | 447 | 11.8 | 3 | 27.9 |
| 2020 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 76 | 50 | 456 | 9.1 | 8 | 28.5 |
| 2021 | CHI | 15 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 167 | 11.9 | 3 | 11.1 |
| 2023 | NOR | 13 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 6.5 | 4 | 3 |
| Career | 197 | 134 | 1115 | 719 | 8,545 | 11.9 | 89 | 43.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Miami | ACC | 0 | 17 | 213 | 5 | 12.5 | 0 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.568
213.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.306
Flat production across college career+0.197
Top Negative Factors
255 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.425
0.82 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.354
Class YPR rank: top 62% — average per-target efficiency-0.317