Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Joe Klopfenstein
Joe Klopfenstein

Player breakdown

Joe Klopfenstein

Colorado · 2006 Draft Class

6-6255 lbs2nd round, 46th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006STL1616342022611.3114.1
2007STL1611323718.512.3
2008STL1610191112311.207.7
2009BUF11211111011
Career4938583439711.728.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004ColoradoBig 12328284410.194.7
2005ColoradoBig 12332463414.5154.3
Career660747812.4124.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

112" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.588
YPG ranked at 29th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.183
Reception rate trend+0.175

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+179 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.565
1.82 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.377
Class YPR rank: top 60% — average per-target efficiency-0.323

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)